Performance Indicator Chart

For those who want some understanding as to how/why we have made our Prime Selections, we produce what we call a Performance Indicator Chart (or PIC). A PIC is available for each and every League Division match posted on our Website. However, PICs are not available for non-League Division fixtures, such as for UEFA Champions League matches, simply because there is no relevant equivalent data to work with.

The PIC is our very own specially devised chart, pictorially showing the immediate past and current scoring records for the two teams, and it is best read in conjunction with the specially prepared series of associated prediction "Usefulness" tables and backup data that follow it (which we collectively refer to as the PIC Backup Data).

The purpose of the PIC Backup Data is to assist you to fully understand the relevance of our Program’s predictions for each and every match. The level of information it contains is phenomenal and, if you spend the time to master its content, its benefits are inestimable.

There is a direct correlation between the "EASE 6" spreadsheet and the information shown in the PIC's, in that all the data included on the spreadsheet is taken directly from what you see in the PIC's.

If you want to see ALL the fixtures for the current week, they are listed under the "Predictions for Major Divisions" sub-section under the section labelled "Advanced Client Data" (located on the bottom left of the screen, but visible only after you have logged in). Under each country heading, the fixtures are listed in date order first, then in alphabetical order of the Home Team.

If you click on the Date/Time shown against any listed match you will be taken to a scroll-down screen, where you will find the PIC and all the PIC Backup Data for the selected match (sitting under the Match Details info and the series of boxes showing the Odds for a range of different Bet Types).

The PIC itself is a very colourful chart presented in an easy-to-understand format, its principal advantage being that it is very visual, not just a boring table of statistics. It has a central vertical core showing a range of match score-lines (which are, in fact, the list of the 24 more usual score-lines utilised by the European Bookies, with the "X" denoting "extreme" scores not generally covered by the Bookies’ Odds).

The permutation of possible score-lines on the PIC is stacked so that the Draws occupy the centre of the block, the Home Win score-lines sit at the top, and the Away Win score-lines reside at the bottom. The stack of Draws is coloured green, the Home Wins blue, and the Away Wins red. The possible score-lines are incremented away from the centre block of Draws one goal at a time, with the Home Wins on the upper sector and their mirror image (for the Away Win scores) on the lower sector.

On the left-hand side of the PIC's vertical score-lines list you will see, set against each respective score-line, a record of the Home Team’s performance when playing at Home, and on the right-hand side the corresponding details for the Away Team when playing Away. The "results" are represented by coloured squares, one per match, and the total number of occurrences is given either immediately to the left or to the right, according to whether it is the Home Team’s or Away Team’s data.

The PIC was arranged by us in this novel manner for the sole purpose of enabling you to see, almost at a glance, how both teams in each match have performed up to the end of the week preceding the date of the match. We initially invented it as a visual "sanity check" against the Program’s purely statistical output, but we quickly appreciated that it had great potential for helping us to identify the best "Correct Score" bets (based around the "median" rather than the "mean" of the score-lines achieved by both teams).

In essence, you should use the PIC as a pure visual check like this:

• If most of the Home Team’s current squares are against the blue central zone, then it means it is doing well when playing at Home. Conversely, if its squares are predominantly against the green central zone it means it returns more Draws than wins or losses, but if mainly alongside the red central zone it means the team is losing badly when playing at Home.
• If most of the Away Team’s current squares are against the red central zone, then it means it is doing well when playing Away. Conversely, if its squares are predominantly against the green central zone it means it returns more Draws than wins or losses, but if mainly alongside the blue central zone it means the team is losing badly when playing Away.

Of course, you can't expect the PIC to be equally as useful for every team, let alone every match! You have to use it as just one more "aid" to selection in conjunction with all its associated "Prediction Backup & Usefulness Data" (found in the tables and charts under the PIC chart, and which we deal with in detail under the section entitled "Utilising the PIC Backup Data").

One important point to bear in mind is that if you look back at the PIC for a previous week, all reports AFTER the "PREDICTION BACKUP & USEFULNESS DATA" (i.e. from "Prediction Accuracy This Season for Home Team" on and downwards) will include all the RESULTS information right up to the current week.